Election 2015: New academic forecast predicts Labour win.
Today we launch our latest forecast, which takes into account opinion polls during March. At the time of our last prediction, Labour were marginally ahead in the polls. Since then, we think the Conservatives have gained��.
Who is Ruth Davidson, the leader of the Scottish Conservatives?
The Lib Dems say: Liberal Democrats are committed to remaining a full member of the EU, giving certainty to Britains businesses about access to European markets and beyond. Membership also enables us to pursue the reforms needed to ensure the EU .
Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: The United Kingdom.
UK General: Thursday will bring one of the most chaotic and unpredictable general elections the United Kingdom has ever seen. National polls show a close race between Prime Minister David Camerons Conservative Party��.
Michigan Exit Polls Show Mitt Romney Gained Moderates.
As the table below shows, the very conservative subgroup has been Romneys worst this year in all of the early contests for which exit polling is available. In 2008, however, the reverse was true. Romney did better among��.
Israel elections: Herzog concedes to Netanyahu after Likud.
Show. 5.43am ET 05:43Summary; 4.40am ET 04:40Iran predicts no change; 9.39pm ET 21:3980% votes counted: Likud on 30 seats; Zionist Union 24; 7.47pm ET 19:47What happens now? 7.06pm ET 19:06Netanyahu promises to protect Jewish and not; 6.20pm. Exit polls had suggested the Zionist Union and its leader, Isaac Herzog, were neck and neck with Netanyahu, but by Wednesday morning official results had stretched to a decisive six-seat lead for Likud.
Election 2015 live: HSBC threat to leave UK shows danger of Tory re-election.
Election 2015 live: HSBC threat to leave UK shows danger of Tory re-election, says Labour. Labour to call on. Over the past couple of days, two polls had the Conservatives ahead by four points and another two had Labour leading by two and three.
The U.K.s unwinnable election
Today, the consultants talk of ���White Van Man,��� but the definition of the target voter is largely the same: mostly white and working-class, often self-employed, with a strong sense that their country has left them behind.. But a poll released just.
Gridlock looms in Britain; last election poll sees no clear.
Cameron tweeted: Today, you can vote for a stable government and a strong economy. Dont miss. The fractured polls show Britains post-World War Two political consensus -- which saw the Conservatives and Labour take turns in government -- is crumbling as once-marginal parties in Scotland and England steal millions of votes. Scottish. An exit poll will be published as soon as polls close, and most results are expected in the early hours of Friday. Reuters. ��.
Scottish leaders debate: Sturgeon hints at second.
With 30 days until polls open, our political team bring you all the latest from the campaign trail as Cameron attempts to tour all four UK countries in a day and the Scottish party leaders prepare for four-way debate.. Show. 11.47pm BST 18:47Evening summary; 11.39pm BST 18:39Why Sturgeons comments about a second referendum could harm the SNP; 11.13pm BST 18:13Scottish leaders debate - Key quotes; 10.45pm BST 17:45Scottish leaderss debate - Verdict��.
Liveblog: UK Election Returns | FiveThirtyEight
Strong showing altogether in Wales for the Conservatives. 5:13 [Renard] Nice hold from Labour in.. 1:18 AM (BST) [Thomas D.] As Dan Berman pointed out today, Scotland remains a Labour-SNP battleground, with the Conservatives effectively shut out. And even after a big win tonight, the.. If the exit polls are right but the seat projections are based on uniform swing, we would show a Conservative majority on those numbers. 10:07 PM (BST). We would obviously��.
Election 2015: Ed Miliband says David Cameron to blame for migrant deaths - as.
Mr Miliband was challenged by a Scottish voter who voted no in the independence referendum over the fact Labour was being ���destroyed��� by the SNP in the polls in Scotland.. broadcast. Matthew Holehouse brings us this from LBC:.. I spoke earlier.
Election 2015 live: FT says it wants another Tory/Lib Dem.
Tell Britains working families that if they vote Conservative on May 7, then the devastation to family finances begins on May 8.. The irony, though, is that even though polling suggests the case for electoral reform should be stronger than ever, the main parties show less enthusiasm for this than they have for years. That is mainly... On May 7th voters must weigh the certainty of economic damage under Labour against the possibility of a costly EU exit under the Tories.
Gay weddings: Marry in haste | The Economist
Polls show that most people are in favour of the change, and very few are seriously upset. Oddly. Gay marriage has angered elderly Conservative activists, driving some to the UK Independence Party.. These polls are typically exit polls... Still, this may be less to do with this specific piece of legislation and more to do with the impression David Cameron is incredibly complacent and doesnt have any emotion strong enough to constitute belief in anything at all.
Exit poll shows strong Conservative showing in Britain
Exit poll shows strong Conservative showing in Britain. Kim Hjelmgaard, Jane Onyanga-Omara and John Bacon, USA TODAY 5:31 p.m. EDT May 7, 2015. Voters headed for the polls across Britain Thursday. Prime Minister David Cameron faces Labour .
Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcrofts exit poll.
Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcrofts exit poll. They show the Tories leading on 21 per cent, with the Lib Dems and Labour both on 15 per cent and Ukip down on 10 per cent.. But it is unlikely Ukip will be nearly as strong in 2015 ��� just 43 per cent of their voters say theyll stick with them in the general election; 10 per cent say theyll vote Tory and 34 per cent are undecided.. us. Sign up today and receive unlimited access to our web resources and app.
Tsipras declares end to vicious cycle of austerity after.
Show. 10.52pm GMT 17:52Summary; 8.34pm GMT 15:34PM Samaras concedes defeat; 8.29pm GMT 15:29Pasok congratulates Syriza; 7.38pm GMT 14:38Syriza on course for half the seats in parliament; 6.54pm GMT 13:54Syriza.. Julian Rappold, a political analyst at the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), says the German government would not have wished for such a strong result for Syriza and now faces possible renegotiation while also having to��.
Election 2015: Tight battle for key marginals across Yorkshire
Even the exit pollsters are preparing to be wrong this time, confessing that they ���simply do not know���.. The region is a microcosm of todays election ��� both parties need to win key marginals if they are to form the next government and the fate of.
Wisconsin Recall Vote: Exit Poll Shows Key To Scott Walker.
The exit poll, conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool consortium, shows that 13 percent of the 2012 voters did not participate in 2010, and they favored Barrett by a 53 percent to 45 percent margin.. Consistent with that turnout pattern, the percentage of the 2012 voters who identified as conservative (36 percent) fell slightly short of the levels of the 2010 election (37 percent), but ran ahead of what voters reported in 2008 (31 percent) and 2006��.
Voters back Obama despite economic concerns, exit polls.
NBCs Chuck Todd discusses how Florida may be used as a model for the rest of the country to show how changes in demographics, particular an influx of Hispanic voters in key counties, affected the outcome of the election.
General Election Night Live Blog 6 May 2010 | British.
00:16 - The exit poll has been silent on percentages thus far ��� weve decoded the seat figures as best we can, and we estimate the following: Con: 38 per cent, or just under; Lab: 29 per cent; Lib Dem: 24 per cent. 00:06 ��� PA sources are apparently reporting that the Tories will claim Battersea - if so, that is a sure sign of a very good night for the Conservatives... They both say it is a time for politicians to show ���humility���. I doubt that call will be. Follow us on Twitter��.
London - Britons Begin Voting In Most Unpredictable Knife.
What disappoints me is that there was too much on the National Health Service, hospitals and schools but not enough on the deficit - no one showed us the figures, he said. If neither party wins. Published on: Today 08:27 AM. The fractured polls show Britains post-World War Two political consensus���which saw the Conservatives and Labour take turns in government���is crumbling as once-marginal parties in Scotland and England steal millions of votes. Scottish��.
Election 2015 UK: Voters head to the polls - live
This was not picked up by us in our checking process. On the. A victory for Labour is seen in the City as a negative that could weaken the value of the pound against other currencies, experts said, while a Conservatives majority might cause sterling.
UK Election Kindles Economic Worries
Many investors are also concerned about the power of the anti-austerity Scottish National Party, which polls show is on track to win a landslide majority and has indicated its willingness to support the Labour party but not the Conservative Party.
Live Coverage | Outcome of the British Election Could Affect Europes Future
It based its assertion on polling data, drawn from relatively small numbers of respondents, that appeared to show a high rate of support for Mr. Clegg among voters who identified themselves as Conservatives. Talk of tactical voting is not confined to.
The silence about Europe right now makes me nervous
She spent part of her childhood in France and has kept strong links there. In her teens she went. Three weeks away from a general election which could return the Conservatives and bring a 2017 referendum on EU membership, it is baffling to see what.
Election 2015 live: HSBC threat to leave UK shows danger.
Poll shows Nigel Farage on course to win in Thanet South �� Lunchtime. Over the past couple of days, two polls had the Conservatives ahead by four points and another two had Labour leading by two and three points respectively. That means the parties. What happened today. In his speech, Ed Miliband also claimed that Labour is now the party best placed to maintain the security of the UK, because of Tory plans for cuts which would ���undermine��� the armed forces.
Election polling day live: voting enters final hours in closest election for.
Despite the torrential rain, the Lib Dem leader spent today knocking on doors in his constituency of Sheffield Hallam, trying to get every last voter out to the polling booth to put a cross next to his name. He said he would... The Conservative.
Surveys suggest late movement toward Labour in UK tightest election
Britons voted today in the tightest election for decades; one that could cause government gridlock, push the worlds fifth-largest economy closer to leaving the European Union and stoke a second attempt by Scotland to break away. Final opinion polls.
David Cameron makes symbolic Scotland visit as 36-hour campaign tour comes.
How do I vote in the UK General Election at polling stations? The Conservatives believe that shy Tories will turn the election in their favour today, with polls suggesting that four in 10 voters are undecided. According to a poll Comres, 38 per cent.
BBC Question Time: election debate live
Conservative Cabinet ministers are pumped in the spin room. and suggesting that today could be the turning point for the party after a strong lead in the polls and David Camerons victory in this television debate. This is the big mo, says.
Election 2015 live: FT says it wants another Tory/Lib Dem coalition
The irony, though, is that even though polling suggests the case for electoral reform should be stronger than ever, the main parties show less enthusiasm for this than they have for years. That is mainly because the disastrous alternative vote.
British Papers: Who Reads Them, and Who They Back in 2015
The episode was the latest in a series of embarrassments for the party, known as UKIP, which advocates a curb on immigration and a British exit from the European Union. Mr. Blay was.. It based its assertion on polling data, drawn from relatively.